Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2387 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 2387 · CLT → CLE

departs 2:48 PM ET · arrives 4:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2387 · CLT → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?