Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2446 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 2446 · CLT → MKE

departs 12:07 AM ET · arrives 1:16 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2446 · CLT → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?