Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2934 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

AA 2934 · CLT → SAT

departs 2:44 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2934 · CLT → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?