tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2982 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2982 · MIA → JFK

departs 2:32 PM ET · arrives 5:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
56% chance · ±11 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    44%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    22%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.