Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3115 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

AA 3115 · CLT → OMA

departs 2:44 PM ET · arrives 4:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3115 · CLT → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?