Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3203SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3203 · DCA → TPA
departs 3:41 PM ET · arrives 6:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.