Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7015 LANDED 11:47 AM AKT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, November 13 Today

AS 7015 · BRW → ANC

took off 10:01 AM AKT · landed 11:47 AM AKT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 1,233 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at BRW that day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ BRW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BRW (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,157 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.05 in

ANC (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7015 · BRW → ANC

Odds over time