Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1797
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
DL 1797 · MIA → LGA
departs 7:58 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 74%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 26%
Sun 11/15 58%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±7 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from MIA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.