DL 2130 · MSP → SRQ

departs 12:47 PM CT · arrives 5:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2130 · MSP → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?