DL 2816 · ORD → BOS

departs 3:19 PM CT · arrives 6:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2816 · ORD → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?