OO 3704 · LAX → ASE

departs 10:36 AM PT · arrives 1:52 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.44 in

ASE (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3704 · LAX → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?