Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 3704 · LAX → ASE
departs 2:13 PM PT · arrives 5:37 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 11/13 25%
Sat 11/14
Mon 11/16 27%
Tue 11/17 21%
Wed 11/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at ASE that day
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.12 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.