OO 3826 · PIT → MSP

departs 6:34 AM ET · arrives 7:53 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,633 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3826 · PIT → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?