Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4796
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 4796 · LAX → SBA
departs 9:04 PM PT · arrives 10:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Fri 11/13
Mon 11/16 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SBA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SBA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.44 in
SBA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.