Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4970
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 4970 · ORD → BHM
departs 10:01 PM CT · arrives 11:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 28%
Tue 11/17 26%
Wed 11/18 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ORD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.