Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4978
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 4978 · PVR → LAX
departs 5:22 PM CST · arrives 6:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±7 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave PVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PVR (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.