Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5398
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 5398 · LAX → MRY
departs 7:13 PM PT · arrives 8:36 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±7 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MRY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MRY?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MRY that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.20 in
MRY (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.