Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6012
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 6012 · SFO → MRY
departs 10:48 PM PT · arrives 11:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±8 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at MRY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MRY?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
10pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.71 in
MRY (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.