Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 6288 · LAX → ELP
departs 8:28 PM PT · arrives 11:38 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 11/12 19%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 23%
Tue 11/17 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Arrivals into ELP at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ELP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,867 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.26 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.