Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6439
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 6439 · LAX → SFO
departs 4:23 PM PT · arrives 5:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 34%
Sun 11/15 50%
Mon 11/16 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
93%
chance · ±13 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
93%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
93%
Yes 93%
No 7%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
6%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
32%
Over 2 hours late
34%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.14 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.