Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6439
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 6439 · LAX → SFO
departs 4:22 PM PT · arrives 5:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 11/13 95%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 50%
Mon 11/16 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.