UA 2299 · LGA → ORD

departs 5:28 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

87% chance · ±12 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.29 in

ORD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2299 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?