tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2839 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2839 · TPA → SFO

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
83% chance · ±15 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    16%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    33%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    26%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.