tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 893 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 893 · SFO → ICN

departs 10:37 AM PT · arrives 4:38 PM KST
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±8 pts +9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ICN?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    14%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    10%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.