Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1010
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 1010 · DEN → LAS
departs 4:22 PM MT · arrives 5:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 31%
Sun 11/15 46%
Mon 11/16 38%
Tue 11/17 30%
Wed 11/18 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±13 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.