Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1184
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 1184 · DCA → MKE
departs 4:34 PM ET · arrives 5:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 29%
Tue 11/17 24%
Wed 11/18 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.