Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1399
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 1399 · MDW → MIA
departs 12:51 PM CT · arrives 4:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 38%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.