Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1399
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 1399 · MIA → MCO
departs 5:33 PM ET · arrives 6:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 42%
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 32%
Tue 11/17 24%
Wed 11/18 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from MIA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.