tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1684 SCHEDULED
Today

WN 1684 · SNA → SMF

departs 2:35 PM PT · arrives 4:15 PM PT
Your aircraft is N218WN (B737), coming in as WN 1684 from LAS: still at LAS, due off about 4:13 PM PT, 142 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SMF?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.