Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1702
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 1702 · SAT → LAS
departs 4:36 PM CT · arrives 5:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 33%
Sun 11/15 43%
Mon 11/16 34%
Tue 11/17 23%
Wed 11/18 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±8 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.