Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 294
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 294 · CLT → BWI
departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 6:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 48%
Sun 11/15 51%
Mon 11/16 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.