Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3218
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 3218 · OAK → LGB
departs 1:51 PM PT · arrives 3:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 11/11 9%
Thu 11/12 18%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB
↓
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.58 in
LGB (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.