Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3512
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 3512 · MIA → CMH
departs 3:56 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 38%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.