Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4406
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4406 · LAS → BUR
departs 2:04 PM PT · arrives 3:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 31%
Sun 11/15 50%
Mon 11/16 39%
Tue 11/17 20%
Wed 11/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±7 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.