WN 4472 · SAN → DAL

departs 5:19 PM PT · arrives 10:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4472 · SAN → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?