Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4653 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 10:47 PM CT (4 H 41 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

WN 4653 · MSY → SAN

departs 5:51 PM CT · arrives 7:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.