Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4506 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:19 AM ET (15 H 59 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Yesterday

YX 4506 · CAE → LGA

departs 3:04 PM ET · arrives 5:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    44%
  2. 15–30 min late
    24%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.