AA 1063 · JFK → MIA

departs 9:31 PM ET · arrives 12:38 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1063 · JFK → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?