AA 1173 · MIA → BNA

departs 8:34 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM CT

Your aircraft is N301NW (B738), coming in as AA 2919 from ANU: landed 4:42 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
28%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1173 · MIA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?