AA 1657 · CLT → SAT

departs 5:37 PM ET · arrives 7:48 PM CT

Your aircraft is N111US (A320), coming in as AA 2875 from SAT: landed 1:45 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft forecast at SAT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1657 · CLT → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?