AA 1705 · CLT → AUS

took off 7:44 PM ET · expected to land 9:10 PM CT (scheduled 6:59 PM ET → 9:06 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

LIVE

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,971 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1705 · CLT → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?