AA 1761 · DFW → PIT

took off 9:36 PM CT · expected to land 12:56 AM ET (scheduled 6:57 PM CT → 10:43 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
97%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,271 ft Visibility7.42857 mi Precip0.12 in

PIT (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1761 · DFW → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?