AA 1882 · CLT → RIC

took off 8:12 PM ET · expected to land 8:57 PM ET (scheduled 8:00 PM ET → 9:21 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RIC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1882 · CLT → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?