tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2586 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2586 · ANU → MIA

departs 4:34 PM AST · arrives 7:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
38% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    61%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.