Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2713 LANDED 3:44 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Yesterday

AA 2713 · CLT → JAX

took off 2:54 AM ET · landed 3:44 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAX (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2713 · CLT → JAX

Odds over time