AA 3040 · CLT → PIT

departs 7:32 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM ET

Your aircraft is N804AW (A319), coming in as AA 3153 from OMA: landed 7:08 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +48 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3040 · CLT → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?