AA 525 · CLT → PDX

took off 6:19 PM ET · expected to land 8:16 PM PT (scheduled 5:14 PM ET → 7:41 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
80%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 525 · CLT → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?