AA 689 · MIA → PIT

departs 8:52 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM ET

Your aircraft is N301UC (B38M), coming in as AA 1130 from BOG: landed 5:05 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +48 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
52%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 689 · MIA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?