AA 850 · DFW → SAT

departs 4:29 PM CT · arrives 5:46 PM CT

Your aircraft is N355TW (B38M), coming in as AA 1174 from GDL: landed 5:22 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

SAT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling720 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 850 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?