Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1739
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Today
DL 1739 · MSP → MSN
departs 5:58 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
81%
chance · ±0 pts
+63 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
81%
Leave 15+ late
79%
Arrive 1h+ late
51%
Cancelled
14%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +63 pts in 24h
+63 pts
81%
Yes 81%
No 19%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +53 pts in 24h
+53 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Arrive at MSN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +48 pts in 24h
+48 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to MSN?
On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
60%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.